With less than 3 minutes to play the quarterback stepped to the line to make his calls…he stood still and barked “hut, hut.” The ball was snapped to him and in one smooth whip-like motion he let a deep ball fly. It hung for what seemed like a minute before it dropped straight into the hands of his target. The receiver galloped easily to the end zone. Florida 44, Cincinnati…well does it even really matter??
This is but one of the famous performances for which Tim Tebow is so highly regarded by college analysts and fans. His total stat line that night read: 31-35 320yds and 3 scores…533 all purpose yards which broke Vince Young’s FBS record in a 51-24 drubbing of the Bearcats.
Impressive as it may be there is however a few problems with Tebow (believe it or not Tebow lovers)
I’m going to break down the few biggest reasons that Tim Tebow will be a bust in the NFL. I’m sure you have all heard about the piss poor mechanics and the throwing motion…the sloppy footwork….while all of that (especially the footwork) is bad news it can be corrected with good coaching and proper work ethic. Tim has to change it and work to keep it changed in order to allow his body to achieve muscle memory. That is not an easy thing to do but I am confident he probably will succeed in this regard.
I see two bigger problems. People have often said to me….if Vince young can have terrible mechanics and play out of the shotgun at Texas and use that in the NFL why can’t Tebow do it?
Well firstly….i wouldn’t want compared to Vince Young and secondly…Vince played in a shotgun read offense. He actually checked down receivers. And the bulk of his production this past season (in which HE supposedly rescued the TITANS season……) was because he played second fiddle to a 2,000 yd rushing machine known as Chris Johnson….it turns out that Vince is just athletic enough to make defenses pay that over commit to Mr. Johnson.
Tebow is not. The Urban Meyer offense is a shotgun T formation veer option attack. That’s a lot to take in but let me explain it to you. Tim takes the snap from the shotgun (a few steps back from the line of scrimmage) he looks one place first….the middle linebacker. If the backer fills the A gap then Tim fakes a handoff to the up-back and tucks it and runs it himself. If the backer covers the right or left end he hands it to the up back. If the backer drops in coverage he pitches it to veer back around end…and finally if the backer blitzes Tim looks up and finds a single hot read wide receiver. Occasionally play action is mixed in for a deep ball. All things told it’s a simple concept. Even Chris Leak won a National Championship out of it under Meyer and looked good doing it.
Urban Meyers playbook is consistently based on 3 versions of this play where he may or may not remove the up-back or veer back. And while it is difficult to stop if the personnel that runs it is talented and smart….it’s not difficult for a smart coach with a good defense to shut it down. You just have to attack negative space with blitzes, spies, or shallow zone coverage and be patient.
This system is impossible to run in the NFL. It gets blown up at the line of scrimmage. Instead, Tim will now be required to take a snap from under center (in most cases) drop back 3, 5 or 7 steps (mechanics be damned) read not just the middle linebackers but also the D-line and whether the safeties are in coverage or playing shallow…once he determines the coverage he then has to look for hot reads (blitzers) and pay attention to the combo option routes that experienced WR’s in the NFL have to run. He then needs to find the open man, anticipate his break, throw on time and hope his offensive line holds up for the average 2.9 seconds per play that NFL pass rushers allow….if the d-coordinator hasn’t brought a jail house blitz. The zone blitz would murder Tebow…if I was a d-coordinator I would spy him and zone blitz every down. And it would work.
One NFL play from under center will prove more challenging than running the offense at FLA for 4 years. It’s a fact. Let alone Tebow learning the NFL phonebook, aka playbook fast (as 1st rounder’s are expected to contribute soon) and translating that to the field. His wonderlic test (NFL intelligence test) wasn’t promising either…much like Vince Young.
Oh and he’s a lefty….that changes the structure of your offensive line as well. You now need a right tackle to protect his blindside and franchise right tackles don’t grow on trees people…not all left tackles can move over there and play that side of the ball….it’s a completely different stance….just ask Levi Brown of the Cardinals.
Here’s the bottom Iine. I like Tebow. He was an outstanding college player, maybe the best ever and I certainly like his toughness, his on the field demeanor and his ability to be physical and keep on ticking….but the NFL is so much more different.
The 2nd overall pick in the NFL draft ran a 40 time similar to Tebow’s and he was 6’4 310 lbs. Tim won’t be able to run away from that. He won’t run at all unless a play breaks down…and even then he better slide instead of lowering that shoulder….this is a men’s league…he’s not playing with little boys anymore.
The facts are simple…Tim played in an offense that was eerily similar to the one west Virginia ran to win championships in the 1940’s. That system is 60 year old football and defensive coordinators are licking their chops at the idea of getting to throw the gauntlet at Tim. Think of how smart the Steelers defensive coordinator Dick Lebeau is…he’s not going to allow Tebow to do anything….especially since he used to shut down QB’s with similar talents in college almost 50 years ago.
Tebow scored low on his football aptitude test and he worked out of a simple single read offense in college. The NFL demands that you make up to as many as 5 reads on a single play. This is gonna be a nightmare people.
He’s not gonna have time to throw or read the field…he might revert back to throwing the ball the way his body has told him to do it for 15 year plus and all in all that equals either injuries or turnovers in the NFL. Tim could be locked down by a single player on an NFL defense. That is a fact.
How about the Alabama game this past season? Tim looked helpless, inaccurate and unconfident. He was facing a defense that had 1st/2nd round NFL talent all over the field. The BAMA D was schematically developed by Nick Saban (an NFL quality mind in some regards) to stop Tebow and he made Tim look like a 6th grader out there.
Tebow is a system QB…NO system QB has ever panned out in the NFL. Name me one…I dare you.
Let alone a system QB that is left handed, poorly educated football wise, and inexperienced/ignorant to the fact that every defensive starter in the NFLl is talented, smart, and capable of outplaying him. All the hard work in the world won’t matter on Sunday….all that will matter is what Tebow can do with the pads on…not what he can do wearing basketball shorts on Jon Gruden’s ESPN special. Tim is dense and needs a lot of coaching up….and who is gonna give him that? JOSH MCDANILES!!! Wow…McDaniel’s is a moron.
So please enough anointing him as the next Peyton. He shouldn’t have been a 1st round selection, he shouldn’t have even been a 2nd rounder….the Denver Broncos taking Tebow 25th overall and trading up to get him was the biggest draft reach I have seen in the past 5 years this side of nearly every pick Al Davis of the Raiders has made in that time. But please go buy a jersey for Mr. All American….he’s gonna need the $$$ in a few years when he realizes that the defenses in the NFL aren’t anything like the SEC…he’s gonna need it start a career as a TV evangelist when he runs from the cameras and the embarrassment of his NFL career faster than he ran the 40. He’s a bust…I’ll put 100 bucks on it to any Tebow fan out there….he probably won’t even see the field because though McDaniel’s is a dumbass…he still not dumb enough to put a kid out there with men in anything but the wildcat. And please ask Pat White and Ike Taylor how that worked out.
Tebow is a poor man’s Vince Young. With 1st rounder status and nothing but a lunch pail to bring to work every day Tebow better be a hard worker because from the start of every play in the NFL he will be asked to do about 5 things he has NEVER done in college games. And with that 1st round status come’s bust-ability and pressure to perform. He is essentially a player who has 0 college experience because everything he did at FLA needs to be forgotten quicker than an ugly girl you mistakenly sleep with because you were drunk the night before.
For him to grow up in THE BIGS is asking too much. Alex Smith is a better, smarter version of what Tebow could be and even that is stretching it. Alex has a better arm. He sure did struggle to read defenses though….hmmm Urban Meyer….perhaps it’s time to medicate that ticker and think about how you should be preparing talented signal callers for the NFL a little better instead of yelling at local reporters.
Congrats Denver…you just drafted the next Alex Smith or Vince Young….enjoy the PR…oh and McDaniel’s will be fired for this draft decision in the next 2-3 seasons because he could have had another key defender or offensive lineman. You cant win consitently with a system QB. He is an idiot. He also has a thing for stockpiling broken QB's....oh well Tebow...you and Brady Quinn can kick it in EAS commercials and show off your hardwork.
Hardwork is overrated. A very famous coach was approached by his #2 quarterback...a young impressive college standout who let the coach know that he had been working hard all offseason and wanted to be the starter. The coach asked him "so what have you been doing?" The young QB replied, "all off season ive been lifitng weights and throwing footballs through the center of tires and into garbage cans from all over the field....."
the coach then said the smartest thing ever...
He told the young QB, "You know what lifting weights and throwing footballs through tires makes you good at? Lifting weights and throwing footballs through tires."
Good Luck Tim
Sincerely,
THE OTHER 31 NFL TEAMS who actually watched the game film.
PS- since the NFL won’t let you put scriptures on your eye black anymore I went to the trouble of leaving one here for you to consider….Job 20:6-7 (New International Version)
"Though his pride reaches to the heavens and his head touches the clouds,
he will perish forever, like his own dung; those who have seen him will say, 'Where is he?"
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